Focus On The Future

THE AGENDA

THE AGENDA NEWSLETTER

The purpose of THE AGENDA is to stimulate conversation.

Agenda Articles in 2024 will be brief.

All previous articles will remain posted below.

Hopefully, you will find them all worth reading.

Comments are requested through the CONTACT section on this site.

Marc Paul Chinoy

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SWIPING THE ICEBERG

The slow-motion dance begins.

The extent of the damage will be known soon.

There are no easy answers for the next round of questions.

“Will the ship continue to float?”

“Who will be allowed in the lifeboats?”

If you are waiting for a pay-off to this message, here it is...

Those of us over seventy-five have been here before and, unfortunately, know the name of the game…

Tune in here early in 2025 to understand the damage to be done in a critical shift of power.

This may sound overly dramatic, but please consider the rapidly approaching iceberg as we “send a message to the bridge!”

Best of luck…

PLEASE REMEMBER TO “SEE IT AS IT IS” IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR A LIFEBOAT.

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THE NEXT AI

The next AI is a logical step along a path of innovations driven by the Gutenberg Press, but actually started the moment Neanderthals smeared charcoal on their hands to leave marks on the walls of caves, announcing their presence to the world and bragging with images of the hunt.

Spoken words, converted to written language, using symbols for sounds, that together made language, were steps along the way to the baker’s dozen, a basic incentive, still used today.

The concept of self-adjusting programs included early radio, which modified frequency to reduce static.

Current AI uses combined patterns of data from multiple sites, adjusted to build on constant change.

This may seem like a long way from a hand-print on a cave wall… or is it?

We are still far from a future when an embedded program in a database in Reston, Virginia, waking after 8 hours of sleep, remembers that it dreamed of bagpipes playing, “Oh, Danny Boy,” and decides it might be amusing to write a hit tune, then contacts a human composer in Brooklyn, based on an item on CNN, to see if a collaboration can be formed.

But perhaps, we are already there, and no one has told us yet.

A partnership of humans and self-inventing programs is likely to be a next level AI, that might be called AS for Artificial Sentience.

The result will be a logical extension along the path, that has included both “The Nightly News” and “The Terminator.”

p.s. in writing this article I relied on the program to make spelling corrections. That program will automatically change arre to are, so it was necessary to trick the code into allowing the mistake to be shown.  At the same time the program is pointing to errors in grammar and  suggesting how to make better use of words.

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NEW WAR

There is a war underway in America.

It is a familiar war that has entered a critical phase.

On the one side are old beliefs aligned by the certainty that “Might makes Right.”

On the other side are unavoidable facts aligned by logic that has become unacceptable to many, once again.

The prize is which form of liberty will take the lead:

The liberty to make individual choices versus the liberty to enforce self-justifying truths.

Yes, we have been here before.

There is no end in sight.

The near-term impact will be pronounced, in likelihood leading to the violence masked for many by a sense of entitlement.

The issue is whether enforced truth is a natural extension of strength, while reason based on logic is difficult to sustain.

The 2024 U.S. election is likely to be a defining moment, making the violence resulting from 2020 look pale.

YOUR COMMENTS ARE REQUESTED

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THE YEAR OF THE DRAGON

The is not a metaphor.

This is a basic fact that spans the world and cultures.

That is the name for this Year of Change in the Chinese Culture, as part of a rolling cycle.

Taking this seriously might be a good idea…

Watch your back!

A few specifics in the next post…

That’s a Promise

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THE ART OF DECEPTION

Watch closely, because we are all witnessing self-deception on a grand scale, yet again.

We are circling a moment when skillful division is being practiced daily.

If you are not certain what this means, then welcome to an age-old club.

The best part for those who practice this art is the adage:

“There’s a sucker born every minute.”

P.T. Barnum

Please check this out and send in comments.

Thanks…

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HERE WE GO AGAIN

Our “One Nation, Under God, with liberty and justice for all” is divided into a set of highly polarized factions, and always has been.

Anyone who does not see that please identify yourself and someone out there will sell you beachfront property in the middle of the Louisiana swamp.

“Classes” of citizenship have to do with ethnic background (without legalized slavery or indentured servitude, per se)

The crisis on the border has no hint of a solution in sight and one main thing you can count on is systematic under-education / mis-education on a grand scale.

There are days when political affiliations look more like Ponzi schemes for the enrichment / empowerment of specific groups.

PLEASE… if you are reading this, send me a message through this site and let me know if this is right or wrong or the punchline from a bad joke.

(Hopefully, you won’t send a nineteen year old with a legal AK47 to say ‘Hello’ on your behalf.)

PLEASE send what you think!

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THE GENDER IDENTITY FLAW

Debate on ‘Gender Identity’ usually misses a key point.

Definitions of ‘Male’ and ‘Female’ have often blended a range of biological functions with totally separate and arbitrary ‘roles’.

Yes, while there is no end in sight, the underlying logic is worth a pass or three.

The absolute need for the genders to cooperate for biological reasons are blurred with disagreement as to a universe of ‘capabilities’ assigned to each by culture and tradition.

Unwrapping the puzzle is an enormous task, generally leading to a blend of arbitrary opinion disguised as ‘truths’ and often tinged (at the minimum) with anger and disdain.

But…

Since the subject often trips up a wide range of planning, it is worth a shot or two.

More later,

MPC

p.s. please send thoughts.

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TUMBLING DICE

The toss is in motion:

The dice are now in the air.

When they hit the table, we will all see the answer play out in real time…

Greed wrapped around racial certainty… A push for inclusion wrapped around chronic under-education.

Motive and opportunity will lead to new crimes or something pretending to be a step forward.

Tune in at 11 for a video update live from the scene.

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WHO ARE WE KIDDING?

We have been here before…

A significant slice of the U.S. is rediscovering two old quotes:

“GREED IS GOOD” (Compliments of “Wall Street” The Movie)

Married to their certainty that: “‘WE THE PEOPLE’ is about ‘US’ and not ‘THEM.’”

The other old adage that is likely to creep into the Scene, as a result, is “WHAT GOES AROUND COMES AROUND.”

…meaning that: “1/6” now joins “9/11” as the ‘call sign’ of a seismic shift, waiting for a next signature date.

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Special year-end note to all of our Grand-kids around the world.

Please read this next line out loud from time to time: “See it as it is, no matter how tough that might be.” 

If we are clear about what is real, as opposed to what someone wants us to believe, we can decide what is important to do. 

This applies to what will happen when we hesitate to accept what is real, because it seems Too Damned Hard.

When we hear Grand Statements repeatedly from those who want everyone to believe that they are the Only Ones who, ‘Know the Only Truth”, it is time to slow down and think.

As simple as that may sound, it is one tough horse to ride, particularly when ‘the right thing to do’ refuses to come clear, at first… or is painful and demands that we sit still and think, without yielding to the noise, hoping we will find an answer.

Please be careful.

The time will come again when those who have an inherent ‘right to do so’ will lynch their neighbors, steal their property, sack the U.S. Capital (completely this time) while claiming their neighbors are genetically inferior to them. 

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THE EVOLUTION OF AN INSURRECTION

      Intelligence is a blend of Data and Logic.

       Data is Fact, accumulated both consciously or through circumstance.

       Logic is a systematic phenomenon, similar to physics or math.

       Faith is a system that allows for the acceptance of Concepts with or without Data or Logic.

       Faith can lead to Group Action to enhance a Group’s Circumstance.

       When Faith comes in conflict with Data or Logic, the result can be manipulation by a Leader with a strong Voice, pushing Fear to feed the Leader’s personal needs.

       When the Voice is Loud enough and the Fear widely held, the Result can be Group Violence.

       The extent of the Violence is driven by the Size of The Group being Influenced, and the weapons available.

       These realities led to The Holocaust of the mid-twentieth century and the U.S. Land Grab of the nineteenth century,

       These realities are always in play, with the only question being timing, scope and result.

      We are on the edge of the impact of those concepts, claiming to be driven by Logic, that allow for relegating large groups of people to being considered less worthy of basic rights.

      In the U.S. there is no right to an education, which once again opens the door to concluding that those with limited literacy and skills are less worthy of rights (at minimum).

      We are also on the edge of a suspension of government, being pushed by a small group, who are certain they have both an inherent right and a need to do so.

      The time has come for a wake-up to the historic danger of this moment.

      Your thoughts are sought, as the prospect for how to open a general dialogue is being considered.

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“WHAT GOES AROUND, COMES AROUND”

We have all been here before.

Three central issues are playing out daily:

1.    Systematic hatred

2.    Hatred fueled by fear

3.    Fear fueled by leaders who know this game well

The result: Violence, both focused and through passive aggression

Working answers:

1.    Slow down and think

2.    Ask questions and listen

3.    See it as it is

4.    Write down what you see

5.    Slow down and think

Note: Your thoughts, please…

(through the Contact section of this site… please.)

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“CALLING IT AS IT IS"

Here we are again.

The designation “AR47” is NOT short term for “Assault Rifle”, but rather a brand name for a weapon model… check it out.

What makes this weapon different than a belt-fed .45 caliber machine gun on a tripod, is that at lower caliber and higher speed, the bullet tumbles on striking, doing massive damage… check this out, too.

The rifle is lousy for hunting, unless the desire is to bring home hamburger!

Why this weapon is legal, unregistered, and the .45 is restricted, opens a fascinating legal question!

Comments, please. (through the Contact section of this site… please.)

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“WHAT GOES AROUND, COMES AROUND” (Revisited)

We have all been here before:

Those who have 'Have', believe they 'Deserve', while also believing that those who 'Have Not', deserve to sleep under bridges.

At the center is a new 'Designed Incompetence' resulting in a Functional Illiteracy for millions in the U.S., including the death of English as a mastered Second Language for those of Hispanic origin.

'Tough Realities' once again call for 'Blame the Victim' First' and then 'Walk Away'.

The new push toward Gerrymandering in many flavors is the order of the day

A "Yellow Vest Hunger" for work is evident with limited effort to advance the literacy of 'hard-workers'. (Please look around and then think this one through)

The Death of Logic Looms, once again, predicting literal death on a large scale, practiced somewhere, daily.

Sad Reality: A good lie is always easier to swallow than a tough truth.

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AI vs ASA: “ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE vs AUTOMATED SELF AWARENESS”

Artificial Intelligence (AI) -   The need to compete is rapidly moving into a next phase. Artificial / Automated Self-awareness is steadily evolving, supported by hundreds of square miles of interlaced data-centers and steadily expanding programs with millions of lines of computer code, now designed to self-correct.

Data center complexes support a wide range of industries and disciplines, including transportation, healthcare, government and military agencies, as well as entertainment and education. Interaction between these centers in increasing. Their interaction is starting to mimic the human brain.

The is NOT science fiction. This is basic fact.

NOTE: CONSIDERATION FOR SPOTTING AI

       ASK / ASK / ASK   BEFORE TELLING ANYTHING (then ask some more)

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WATCH YOUR BACK

Seniors who went the distance for decades are being asked to surrender or disappear, again

The wide range of retirement scams are growing like mildew on society.

Mediation gurus sell advanced states of mind… for a fee.

A wide range of the young are being handed automatic weapons together with several versions of garbled fantasies.

It is easier to offer a child in East Africa an assault rifle manufactured in Tennessee than to offer a child in Central Florida a book that includes “Jabberwocky”.

This is not a new age theory, but an accelerating reality, as constantly expanding media collides with a old fears, to be worked by hucksters and pseudo-educators.

There are no easy answers, just the old premise, once again, to ‘watch your back.’

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OLD AND NEW GOOD NEWS

OLD NEWS: Penicillin / the telephone / plastic surgical mesh / light bulbs / fiber-optic cable.

NEW NEWS:

Engineered DNA / Expanded AI built on Interlaced Mega Data Centers

COMING SOON:

Fully-sentient AI / Interlaced Self-Replicating Research

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THE 37¢ RULE (The next round of planning)

-    If you have only 37¢ in change in your pocket, deciding how to spend your pocket change is a plan.

-    If you have $37,000,000.00 in corporate funds held in reserve, deciding how to spend those funds is a plan.

-    The difference is a matter of personal need.

-    When you are down to your last 37¢, that plan can be urgent.

-    Managing development during corporate change has evolved into  "plans to plan".

-      Arbitrary action from moment to moment will trip up even the best planning.

-      Today’s “perceived need” can be sheer folly… example: allowing electric cars to steer themselves on public streets, too soon.

-      NOTE: The Tools provided on this site are offered without charge or tracking to help with planning of all flavors.

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WHAT THINGS REALLY MEAN:

• Absolutely free = get ready to bleed cash until you pass out

• Lifetime guarantee = if you are a day lily

• Our representatives are helping other customers = go away, you fool

• No risk = if you are dead already

• Trial period = ran out before you started

• All makes and models = except the one we sold you

• Customer service = who are you, anyway?

• Please continue to hold = until the glacier reaches Monmouth, N.J.

• Additive free = except dimethalhydrocholorocalalkalide, of course

• When available = last Labor Day

and my favorite:

• There is no obligation, but time is limited = (ok… you can figure this one out)

PLEASE SEND YOUR FAVORITES IN A REPLY < This one is real

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AN OLD PUZZLE OF NEW SCIENCE

“Electric Everything” is leading to familiar issues:  

“Self-driving” cars vs vehicles with human drivers, opens the door to a range of old debates and new revenue for litigators.

This is the constant puzzle for our friends in the patent-law community. 

Sir Isaac Newton was forced to publish, when confronted with writings that missed the point of his understanding.

But then… Who really cares anyway? 

Now there is a debate worth an hour or two over a couple of cold beers (or lemonade if that is your preference)… particularly if later, you will be driving home alone after one too many, leading to your car driving you into an ‘unmarked’ power pole by itself.

MPC

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